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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-08-27T00:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-08-27T00:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17597/-1
CME Note: Faint CME seen SE in C2 and later in the W in COR2A, front is too faint to be seen in C3. Source is an eruption in AR 2860 seen at 2021-08-26T23:30Z in AIA 193 (followed by a filament eruption seen in AIA 304).
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-08-31T04:59Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

% Compiled module: EAM_V2.
******************************************************************************
Most pr. speed = 298.0 km/s 
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      347.562
Acceleration:      0.361255
Duration in seconds:        362154.04
Duration in days:        4.1915977
t2 is negative
**************************************************************************************
Acceleration of the CME:   0.36 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  478.4 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 31/08/2021 Time: 04:59 UT

Lead Time: 45.98 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-08-29T07:00Z

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